Troll post on the Richmond Review

Posted in Commentary on January 29th, 2010 by Sacha

I noticed this letter to the editor was published in the January 29, 2010 Richmond News:

Scammer made my day
Anja Novkovic, Richmond News
Published: Friday, January 29, 2010

The Editor,

Re: “Victim confronts hustler,” News, Jan. 22.

While I completely understand why many people are outraged by what this man has been doing, I think it’s really a shame to focus on the negatives.

He “scammed” me a year ago and I ended up giving him all the money I had with me. What’s amazing, though, is how happy it made me feel! It kept me smiling the entire day, and well into the week.

When I saw the guy again and realized it was a scam, I thought, who cares? This guy made me so happy for a few days, all because he gave me the chance to really help somebody out.

In a city where most people won’t look a panhandler in the eye, it was wonderful to see that hundreds of people were willing to reach into their pocket and help a person in need. While this guy is extremely talented, he’s also clearly dealing with some kind of issues. Nobody would make a living standing on the corner and lying to people if they were well-adjusted.

Let’s forget about losing money or “being cheated” and realize what kind, giving people live in this city!

Anja Novkovic,
Richmond

If I didn’t know better, this is a very well-drafted troll letter to the editor! The internet finally reaches print media.

If this letter writer did turn out to be legitimate, I’m sure there are other scammers that would love to meet this lady. I’m sure if she opens her mail box and starts replying to spammers she’ll quickly befriend some more people “in need”.

BC Local Government Election Rules

Posted in Politics on January 29th, 2010 by Sacha

The provincial government has created a local government task force to look at the issues concerning the rules of elections for councilors, school trustees, regional district directors, Islands Trust trustees, community commissions and park commissioners. The government press release on the matter is here. Bernard also pointed this out.

Rules concerning elections are very important to those involved, which is why I will be keeping a very active watch on this issue and will be submitting in comments and will also be cross-posting them here when the time comes. Submissions are due by April 15, but I will be preparing mine in advance once all of the background papers are finished.

Political Financing Rules in Canada and BC

Posted in Politics on January 25th, 2010 by Sacha

Declan writes in a post called Ethical Confusion about the recent judgment in the US Supreme Court which re-enables corporations to donate to political campaigns.

I am not confidently versed enough in US political financing rules to make an assertive conclusion on the matter, but I generally think most restrictions on political financing result in advantages to incumbents, which is why such rules are usually legislated (witness the so-called “gag law” enacted in BC before the 2009 Election to restrict third party advertising which was really a rule that attempted to prevent anti-BC Liberal elements from spending a pile of cash they’ve accumulated for the writ period).

I also think restricting most forms of individual spending on political matters results in more empowerment of the media, although the internet has (thankfully) blunted this off somewhat.

Living in British Columbia, we get three different flavours of political financing rules on the federal, provincial and municipal side.

Federally:

Only individuals can contribute to political parties and candidates. The maximum contribution is $1,100 to a political party, and another $1,100 to a registered association or candidate, and you receive a 75% credit off federal income taxes for the first $400 donated, 50% for the next $350 and 33.3% for the next $525.

Corporations and unions are not allowed to donate.

Political parties also receive about $2 per vote per year, paid quarterly, based on the result in the last general federal election. The minimum threshold to receive quarterly financing is 2% of the popular vote nationally, or the electoral districts where candidates received at least 5% of the vote.

Finally, political parties receive a reimbursement of 50% of their eligible election expenses. Candidates receive a reimbursement of 60% of their eligible election expenses providing that they receive at least 10% of the popular vote in their electoral district.

Political parties, registered association and candidates must have their expense returns audited in order to be eligible for the expense reimbursement. In terms of strict math, a person donating $100 to a candidate incurs a $25 after-tax expense; the candidate can then spend $250 and subsequently receive $150 back after he/she files their expenses. This is why political parties and candidates really appreciate small donations – the leverage on your after-tax cost is 10:1.

In my opinion, despite its complexity, the system has performed rather well. Corporations and unions are typically relegated down to the lobbying level and without the influence to donate to election campaigns.

In particular, you can operate a two-bit political party and still be able to receive quarterly financing from Elections Canada by having your candidates receive more than 5% of the popular vote in a riding during an election. So if your two-bit political party fields 2 candidates and they get exactly 5% of the vote, for a typical riding in Canada that has 40,000 voters, your two-bit party will receive $8,000 a year in financing. No political party has done this; only the Green party has not won any seats but have qualified for quarterly financing by virtue of having greater than 2% of the national vote.

Provincially:

Individuals, corporations, unincorporated associations, non-profits (but not charities) and trade unions can contribute to political parties and candidates. There is no limit to contributions. You (or your corporation) receive a 75% credit off provincial income taxes for the first $100 donated, 50% for the next $450 and 33.3% for the next $550.

There is no provincial election expense reimbursement or equivalent of quarterly financing.

Election expenses are required to be audited above a certain spending threshold for both parties and candidates, but I have never seen in my life anybody prosecuted for violating provincial election spending rules.

One wonders if this election financing regime lead to the two parties that dominate provincial politics representing corporate donations (the BC Liberal Party) and the trade unions (the NDP).

Municipally:

Anything goes. No tax credits, no expense limits. You just have to report donations and very basic expenses at the end of the election, without audit. Just like provincial elections, I have never recalled anybody being charged with violating the Local Government Act with respect to election financing rules. Election financing rules in municipalities are very, very, very loose.

Large-scale municipal elections (e.g. Vancouver) tend to mirror provincial lines, mainly the corporate (NPA), “Yaletown corporate” (Vision – I have no idea what else to call their core support branding other than “Yaletown”) and the unions (COPE). Also prominent in municipal elections are the influence of developers and the real estate lobby, mainly due to the quick access of having councilors that are one decision away from making lucrative rezoning decisions.

Some thoughts:

There are points to be made for all three systems, but it is difficult to deny that the federal financing rules (specifically banning donations from corporations and trade unions) has had an impact on corporate influence in the political world. Most of the corporate and union political donations occur in the provincial and municipal worlds, where there is a lot of influence peddling.

I also do not believe that one regime of political financing would fit all three levels of government. If I were to make an easy tweak, I would cap donations to $1,100 for provincial and municipal donations from any one source.

Sun Run 2010 – Week 12, session 1

Posted in Commentary on January 25th, 2010 by Sacha

The first day of the “week 7″ schedule asks for a 10 minute run, 1 minute walk and repeat this until you’ve done it 4 times or have run for 5 kilometers. At the treadmill pace of 6.6 miles per hour, this works out to about 28.4 minutes of running. The last time I attempted this was back in December 21 and it failed miserably. This time, I fared better. I did the 30 minutes of running, with the observation that exactly after I started the 3rd 10-minute leg, that my calves started getting tight again. It wasn’t bad, but after the 30th minute, my feet really started feeling numb. It didn’t affect my running performance.

I wanted to continue onto the 40 minute of running mark (an “extended mission”) so I lowered the treadmill down to 3.0 miles per hour and walked 4 minutes, and my feet felt a lot better. Then I ran another 10 minutes, but the feet got semi-numb when that was concluded.

I have no idea what is going on in my legs or feet, but it was better than last month. I do historically note that I tend to run better when my feet are numb during the actual race day, but this probably isn’t a good thing.

A positive note, however, is that my cardiovascular performance seems to be quite good – I was never out of breath throughout the entire running procedure.

The last note on the training session was that they had the Food channel on one of the televisions and they had a show of this guy making his own fresh pizzas from scratch with various toppings on it and sprinkled with fresh Mozzarella cheese – and baked inside a wood burning oven stove (which is the only true way to make pizza, in my opinion). It looked sooooooooooo good while running. I love the Food channel, but the only problem with it is that while watching it you get so hungry even when you’ve just eaten!

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Opening up the Canadian constitutional debate

Posted in Politics on January 25th, 2010 by Sacha

It appears that the Liberals and NDP want to open up the constitutional debate – both of them have floated proposals where they feel it is up to the House of Commons to determine whether the executive wishes to summon Parliament or not. Unfortunately, such proposals are unconstitutional.

I am fairly sure that Ignatieff, by virtue of his extensive academic background, knows how parliamentary democracy is supposed to work, but is clearly playing up to the public hype. I am not so confident that Layton knows the system operates.

Canada, by virtue of its British heritage, has the King/Queen of the United Kingdom as its head of state. Since the King/Queen isn’t around, she has a representative, the Governor General to do her bidding.

I say “King/Queen” simply because it is historically unusual as it is in present times to have a Queen as the reigning monarch of the United Kingdom – typically the ruler has been a (male) King.

The Governor General has no decision-making authority and is a symbolic holder of power, just as how the King/Queen is the symbolic holder of power in the United Kingdom. The Governor General is also appointed “on the advice” of the Prime Minister and the advice is heeded 99.9% of the time. Practically, the Prime Minister has the power of the King/Queen because the Governor General always obeys the advice of the Prime Minister. The only time this did not happen in Canadian history was in the King-Byng affair, where the Prime Minister’s advice to dissolve Parliament and hold an election was turned down.

Ultimately it is the King/Queen that can summon and prorogue Parliament, but because the Prime Minister is essentially a proxy for the King/Queen, the Prime Minister has the authority to summon and prorogue Parliament. This is achieved by informing the Governor General.

Parliament, as I discussed earlier, has one significant function – passing supply. Historically, Parliament only convened when the King needed enough funds to raise an army for invading foreign countries (or dealing with domestic invaders like the Scottish and Irish). Today, Parliament grants supply for the various government ministries for less exciting purposes (e.g. transfer payments, paying staff, etc.) than done so historically. Another function was law-making, but this function was secondary – if the government couldn’t receive funding it would shut down, but changing the laws was always a non-critical function of Parliament.

Historically, if supply was not passed, the King would not be impressed and there would be a bloody civil war against parliament. Today, if government cannot pass supply, there is an election and another batch of Parliamentarians get together to try to drum up support for passing supply.

There is no legislation that can be passed that would sever the relationship between the Prime Minister and King/Queen unless if the constitution were opened up. This is what Ignatieff and Layton from the Liberals and NDP are proposing.

The best they can hope to achieve with this line of thought, if they were to pursue it, is changing some of the House standing orders and change the Parliamentary calendar.

The more the media and politicians talk about this issue, the easier it is to determine who really knows how a parliamentary system works.

Sun Run – Week 11 summary, week 12

Posted in Commentary on January 25th, 2010 by Sacha

My “week 11″ (based on the week 6 training schedule) began on January 16th. The January 18th session was done outdoors because it was a sunny day, which was my first outdoor attempt. As I pointed out earlier, I will have to make sure that my shoes are “correct” since I suspect they make a huge difference while running.

This was a four-session week with Saturday, Monday, Wednesday and Friday being run days – I wanted to get back to the Monday-Wednesday-Friday cycle. I just repeated Wednesday’s run for Friday (January 22). I noticed my legs on Friday’s run were a bit more “tired” after running, specifically with the feeling of tingling on the bottom of the feet, but it was not severe. What was a little more disturbing was that my legs still felt noticeably sore for most of Saturday, but this went away on Sunday. I am wondering whether this is normal or whether I’m doing some sort of real damage to myself – I hope it is just regular soreness, but if it continues I will do some more research on it.

I hope after resting for two days that Monday’s (today’s) run goes well with the Week 7 cycle. I suspect that the pounding on the feet and legs is amplified with increased body mass over the past few years, so I am fairly conscious of the holistic nature of running – if I shed 5 pounds, that’s 5 pounds less that my legs have to carry with every step. And since the ideal pace is 180 steps per minute, each 10km race ideally should be 10,080 steps. This implies that each step should be a meter!

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Four years since the 2006 election

Posted in Politics on January 23rd, 2010 by Sacha

On January 23, 2006, Canadians voted in a minority government with Prime Minister Stephen Harper at the helm. It is four years later, which is the typical duration of a term in government in normal times.

In just four short years since taking over the leadership of the Canadian Alliance in 2002, he united the right-wing vote of the country and built up the organizational framework of a party that has since dominated Canadian politics.

Back in the June 2004 election (when Paul Martin was re-elected in a Liberal minority government), the media wrote off Stephen Harper as “somebody that could never become Prime Minister”. Too extreme, with a “hidden agenda”, according to Liberals.

In the January 2006 election, the media wrote off the minority government as being unstable and having the least number of seats for a governing party – yet the government lasted longer than any other (true) minority, while passing a whole boatload of legislation in its platform, including tax cuts that no other party on their own would ever approve.

After the November 2008 election, the media wrote off Harper’s leadership after the parliamentary crisis and the subsequent proroguing of Parliament. They said that Harper will never be able to achieve a majority government.

While this may or may not be true, one fact remains and that is that the Prime Minister is one incredibly smart cookie and like him or hate him, he has competently lead the administration over the past four years, much more so than what other parties could offer. By most measures, we have seen an administration that has been able to quickly adapt to changing circumstances, take opportunistic political and policy risk (and have some of these risks backfire at times!) but always the right blend of what’s right for the country and what’s politically correct given the minority government.

Ever since the economic crisis, the opposition and external forces forced the government’s hand with respect to the stimulus package. Now that the crisis has moderated, the difficult job will be how the government can manage the expense side of its income statement and the fiscal deficit. This will likely be the theme for the next year and this, coupled with the ability for Canadians to stay employed, will determine the electoral fortunes of the Prime Minister. We will see, but Harper is better in the top spot than Ignatieff, Layton or Duceppe to deliver and let Canadians create this opportunity for themselves instead of getting in the way.

One aspect of this coming year is undeniable – tightening the belt is a lot more difficult and politically unpopular than deciding where to spend stimulus money.

The following picture of myself and the Prime Minister was taken on day 1 of the 2008 federal election campaign:

New era of Public Transit – I hope not!

Posted in Politics on January 22nd, 2010 by Sacha

The provincial government did a press release today titled “NEW ERA OF PUBLIC TRANSIT ARRIVES IN BRITISH COLUMBIA“. In it describes how a fleet of hydrogen-fueled bussed will be commuting people around Whistler.

There are huge issues with this, and it completely revolves around cost and the perceived environmental benefit.

Cost:

Hydrogen buses are insanely expensive compared to their diesel counterparts. The initial capital costs, even assuming you can produce them in scale (which the province didn’t) is about 10 times greater than conventional buses. During the total life cycle of the bus (maintenance, fuel) you are looking at a 2-3 times increase in costs. This is well known by those that are “in the know”, and this demonstration is purely for political purposes.

Environmental Benefit:

Generating “hydrogen fuel” takes energy. A lot more than what most people think. Hydrogen has very poor energy density, which is why most research is trying to create materials that can pack in hydrogen in a convenient (portable and ’safe’) way that can be utilized by industrial-sized machines. The two ways of doing it are compressing hydrogen – but hydrogen by volume (not by weight, where it is relatively good) has poor density and this requires large-massed containers to do so, or by packing it in chemically.

I believe the buses will be using compressed hydrogen. The irony is that the cheapest way of generating hydrogen is by using natural gas!

Conclusions:

As a $113 million dollar “pet project”, this will be successful. The buses will run fine with compressed hydrogen, they will not generate emissions at the source of combustion, and they will operate fine. In the medium and long term, hydrogen currently does not scale. Diesel needs to be much, much, MUCH more expensive before this system will even be close to economically viable. By this time, the price of hydrogen itself will be much more expensive because of natural gas costs required to generate it – it will be more likely that you will see engines running on natural gas instead (and these have their own separate issues that make them an inferior option to diesel).

Ripple effects of the Scott Brown election

Posted in Politics on January 20th, 2010 by Sacha

There are a few major political implications of the election of Scott Brown. Some of them are short term, and some of them are longer term.

One is that Obama is facing a parallel situation that Clinton did in 1993 – they both tried to get Congress to tinker with the US Healthcare system, and they both lost massive political capital as a result. Clinton managed to recalibrate his game in time for the 1996 election (and was fortunate enough to have an economy that was perking up at that time). Can Obama do the same?

Another implication is that with 41 senators, the Republicans can filibuster any major legislation in the Senate, which suggests that gridlock will be the norm until the November 2010 elections. Gridlock in governments have historically been favorable to the US currency and the markets in general. The US dollar rose in strength by about 1.5% against the other world currencies – and the price of gold (a generic proxy for the instability of world currencies) went down 2.4%.

Scott Brown will be very lucky to win re-election in November 2012, however. Almost all the stars lined up for him yesterday (unpopular President, unpopular policies, weak Democratic candidate, unpopular Democrats in control of Congress and a 60-full majority in the Senate, plus running an excellent campaign on his own), but these will not be in perfect alignment 2.8 years from now. Massachusetts is a very Democratic state, and this is the Canadian equivalent of getting a Liberal MP elected in Alberta.

Credit and Debit code of conduct policy

Posted in Politics on January 20th, 2010 by Sacha

Earlier, I wrote about how the government released a code of conduct with respect to the processing of credit and debit transactions. They solicited comments before they plan on enacting it.

It appears that the credit card providers are not too happy with the conduct because apparently it will be “reducing consumer choice” and “will take 5 years and hundreds of millions of dollars to implement”. Exactly the opposite is true – and implementation would take far less time and far less money.

The reality is that the code of conduct is unfavourable to them since it balances the playing field somewhat by allowing merchants to negotiate the best deals with whatever credit/debit network they prefer. It also gives merchants a “nuclear” option by allowing differential discounting, including on cash if they prefer.

The more the credit card providers scream about this code of conduct, the more I believe the government is along the right line of thinking.

I continue to maintain that this code of conduct, if enacted, is good public policy and will benefit practically every Canadian that purchases goods and services in the economy.

This is one area where the federal government did their homework and proposed the right policy, instead of the knee-jerk reaction the NDP was proposing (which was to implement price controls on credit card companies in terms of the rates they charged merchants). With this code of conduct, there will be open competition and merchants can choose providers that offer the best services for the lowest interchange rates. The winner will be the customer who will pay less burdened credit/debit costs on their purchases.

My guesstimate on the effect of this on end-retail prices is that this will be like reducing the GST by half a percent.