BC poll shows an odd trend
A BC Mustel Poll, August 23, 2007 taken between August 8 to 20 indicates that the BC Liberals have 50% support in the province. Considering the incompetent performance up to date by the NDP, this is no surprise.
But what I find interesting is the dip in the NDP numbers and the corresponding increase in Green party numbers. Keep in mind that the Green party in BC has been operating without a leader (Adrienne Carr left to join Elizabeth May in the federal scene) and without a coherent media engine. Although it is difficult to infer too much weight into a single poll, it is clear that about 20 people of the 501 person random sample favoured the Green Party instead of the NDP. This is confirmed by looking at the leader approval ratings.
Whether this 501 person poll can be extrapolated to the population is another matter. However, if this trend continues, the NDP are in deep, deep trouble.
Here is a big prediction: If the NDP do not get rid of Carole James by 2009 AND if the Green party elects a leader that is “publicly presentable” (e.g. did not make their living with a career in protesting) then the Green party will win seats in the legislature in 2009. You heard it here first.